Political Matt
Tracking Canadian, American, and British politics from a conservative perspective — election modeller and commentator.
Data-driven forecasts, updated as polls evolve.
Seat Projections
A snapshot of current parliamentary seat estimates for Canada and the UK.
🇨🇦 Current Seat Projection
House of Commons · 343 seats
172 seats needed for majority of 343
🇬🇧 Current Seat Projection
House of Commons · 650 seats
326 seats needed for majority of 650
🇺🇸 US 2026 Midterms
Senate · House · Governor projections
GOP
52 (-1)
DEM
48 (+1)
DEM
222 (+7)
GOP
213 (-7)
DEM
26 (+3)
GOP
24 (-3)
As of August 4, 2026
Political Matt has Partnered with Poliwave
Political Matt is proud to partner with @RealAlbanianPat to expand the Poliwave social media brand to Instagram.
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Everything I cover, nothing you don't
Data-driven analysis wrapped in a clean, distraction-free interface.
Conservative Politics
Analysis on politics, with a conservative perspective.
Election Projections
Data-driven forecasts, for all polls tracked.
UK & US Politics
Tracking Canadian, American, and British politics.
The 7 Principles of Conservatism
The enduring values that guide conservative thought and governance.
01
Individual Liberty
The freedom of the individual is paramount. Government exists to protect rights, not to grant or restrict them arbitrarily.
02
Limited Government
Government should be as small as necessary. Power concentrated in the state is a threat to the freedom of citizens.
03
Rule of Law
All people — including those in power — are subject to the law. Equal justice under a stable, predictable legal order is foundational.
04
Personal Responsibility
Individuals are accountable for their own choices. A culture of dependency undermines human dignity and societal resilience.
05
Free Markets
Voluntary exchange and competition allocate resources better than central planning. Economic freedom and political freedom are inseparable.
06
Ordered Society
A stable, functioning society requires shared institutions, customs, and moral norms built over generations — not dismantled overnight.
07
National Sovereignty
Nations have the right and duty to govern themselves, secure their borders, and act in their citizens' interests on the world stage.
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